Robert Menendez series
As Senator Robert Menendez (D-NJ) and the committee seeking to recall him from the Senate await a decision from the New Jersey Supreme Court, speculation has already begun on a possible Menendez opponent, in 2012 if not in a recall election in 2010: former CNN columnist Lou Dobbs.
Dobbs was forced to resign from CNN’s MoneyLine program after his comments regarding illegal immigration offended the wrong CNN executives. He now runs his own radio program titled Let It Fly Friday. When he left CNN, he gave an interview saying that he might like to run for President in 2012.
(On October 5, 2009, a stray bullet whizzed past Dobbs and his wife as they were standing outside their house, bounced off the vinyl siding on the outside wall at attic level, and fell to the ground. Dobbs was convinced that this was an attempted assassination, but the New Jersey State Police decided that the shot was a stray round fired by a nearby hunter. That the shot was fired at 10:30 in the morning might or might not be significant.)
Now the sports-betting site SBRForum (for Sports Book Review) has laid odds on Dobbs running for the United States Senate in 2012, and challenging Robert Menendez for his seat.
Lou Dobbs reporting on the loss of STS
shuttle Columbia (NASA)
Robin McVeer of SBRForum stated that Dobbs, if he ran against Menendez in 2012, would be a 2-to-1 favorite to win–and the odds against Menendez winning would be 9 to 5. Those same oddsmakers declared that Dobbs would not be likely to run for President in 2012–probably because very few people who have never been in politics or the military even think of running for President. As to which party Dobbs would likely run on, the oddsmakers gave him 5-to-4 odds in favor of making an independent run and posted 5-to-2 odds against his running as a “Tea Party candidate” and 3 to 1 odds against his running as a Republican (and 20-to-1 odds against his running as a Libertarian). They did not speculate on his running as a Democrat.
Dobbs is slated to speak to the national Tea Party convention in Las Vegas next month.
The Lou Dobbs name and political brand resonates with millions of Americans, including in the state of New Jersey. Lou is an intelligent, no-nonsense voice that appeals to many and we believe he will be considered the perfect agent of change in that state.
The speculation limited itself to a conventional election run in 2012. If Dobbs decided to run as an independent candidate in that race, he would have until the day of the primary to file. If a recall election were called, every candidate would effectively be an independent candidate.
This article is part of the Robert Menendez series.
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